Thursday, November 01, 2012

The "cost" of a hurricane

So, Hurricane Sandy may cost $50 billion.  OK.  But I wonder how much the typical "nice" day costs?  How much does a sunny day cost in damage done by the sun?  How much does a gentle rain cost?

It's like the cold spell (or heat wave) that is said to have claimed X number of lives.  How many people does a pleasant day kill?  How many people die doing things on a nice day who would have survived had the weather been nasty enough to keep them inside?

When calculating these things- if that is even a valid goal- you should subtract out the cost in money and lives that would have been "spent" anyway.  I have my doubts that this is done, since the larger the number, the more dramatic the news and the more emotions will be inflamed.

Everything has a cost.  Be prepared so that you aren't caught off-guard.  Then, enjoy the wind and rain.  Don't fear the uncertainty.



  1. Hi Kent,

    Reductio ad absurdum, nicely done!


  2. There ya go again, Hawk! Thinkin' outside the box.

    Conventional wisdom is not straying from what the "media" folks pronounce.

    Critical thinking not allowed.

    I'm 'feard you're one of us blamed anarchists.