Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Skewed, self-selected data

Back in February, I had a routine annual medical check-up. During the course of the questioning, I was asked if I was interested in getting the Covid-19 vaccine. I said I wasn't. 

The doctor asked, "Do you mind telling me why?" My answer was that I just wasn't worried about Covid-- everyone around me has already had it and it wasn't that bad for any of them. 

His response: "Well, my experience has been different. I've seen lots of bad outcomes."

I'm sure he has. Think about it. 

Who is going to come to the hospital emergency room? Those who aren't having problems, or those who are? Which group of people is more likely to have a bad outcome? His data is self-selecting. It's going to give him a skewed view of reality. 

I know someone else who worked in a nursing home during the first several months of the panic-demic, She also is convinced this virus is a really big deal-- and in her limited sphere, it probably was. But that's not representative of the world at large.

Of course, neither is my experience. But it is still my excuse for not being interested in a vaccine experimental gene therapy that won't prevent the disease it is being advertised for fighting, won't prevent those infected from transmitting the virus, and won't confer herd immunity (according to its advocates)-- so getting it won't eliminate antisocial social distancing or masks. Remind me again... what is the point of a vaccination that won't do any of the things normal vaccines are expected to do?

Other people have other reasons, both for getting the vaccine and for refusing to do so. I'm fine with that. I'm not anti-vaccine, but I am anti-mandatory vaccine.


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  1. I use the comparison of voting for Obummer for this "not a vaccine". I have had many other real licensed vaccines and get an annual flu shot so I too am not anvti-vax. With Obummer, I had no problem voting for a black man for president, but not that one, based on a limited political history and a poor voting record, no business experience, surrounded by Commies and race baiting poverty pimps. I was not wrong.

    1. Being able to see beneath the surface-- and think-- is almost a superpower these days.

  2. I won't get the vaccine either. My biggest reason? Everybody's side effects seem really bad! A friend of mine got it and was immediately flat on his back in bed for about four days - which is a day and a half longer than I had symptoms when I had the actual Covid virus. I was really sick one day then during the next couple days got better. This is with asthma and some other complicating issues. So why make myself sick when I know I can beat what it's trying to protect me from? If someone else wants it - well I guess that's on them but I wouldn't advise it.

    1. No one in my family had very bad reactions to the vaccine. But they'd also already had the virus, so maybe that had something to do with it. I'm just not willing to take a vaccine or an experimental gene therapy for something that-- in my family-- didn't seem any worse than the flu. I think a person's DNA has something to do with how bad the virus is-- because my dad has almost every co-morbidity and still did fine.